There is nothing greater than just identifying a mismatch where the oddsmakers have made an error and you reap the benefits of an underdog win. But that is a lot easier to state than it is to do and at times it burns you another way when those clear cut-and-dry favorites price you cash once the underdog pulls off that upset.
Among the most shocking upsets of 2018 had arguably the best pound-for-pound fighter Demetrious Johnson losing by unanimous choice to Henry Cejudo (+350) at UFC 227. This doesn’t mean you should be swinging for the fences on every card with a lot of underdog bets, but just know that there could be money to be made on a well-placed wager.
2018 was a Bounce-Back Year for Underdogs
Underdog victories were on the decline recently, as in 2015 dogs had a winning percentage of 38.5, but in 2017 that percentage dropped to 32. However, there was a bit of a comeback in 2018 as underdogs completed at a 36 winning percent and that trend has continued into 2019.
During 19 events this season, underdogs are hitting a rate of 36.8 percent. Most recently, UFC Fight Night Greenville: Moicano vs the Korean Zombie saw dogs acquire five of those 11 fights, making bettors $205.91 predicated on a $100 wager on every fight. The biggest upset of the day was on the undercard with Molly McCann (+215) beating Ariane Lipski. Overall this season, the largest upset is Allen Crowder (+375) over Greg Hardy.
Odds Shark will update the documents for underdogs vs favorites. Additionally, we will break down the profits based on $100 on every underdog versus $100 on each favorite.
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